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The S & P 500 Health Care Sector index has outperformed the broader S & P 500 in just three of the past eight presidential election years dating back to 1992, according to FactSet data. So far in 2024, health care has been the best-performing sector in the S & P 500, climbing roughly 2%. .GSPHC .SPX YTD mountain Health care sector vs. S & P 500 YTD It's way too early for any grand predictions with Election Day 2024 about 10 months away. Nevertheless, we see attractive fundamentals in the year ahead for a host of health-care stocks, giving us the confidence to own Lilly, GE Healthcare and Danaher despite what history says about the group in presidential election years. After a strong 2022 for health care in a terrible overall market, investors last year placed a lower emphasis on the defensive characteristics of health care.
Persons: , that's, Eli Lilly, Lilly, Jim Cramer, Jim, Sen, Bernie Sanders of, Joe Biden, Sanders, would've, Damien Conover, Conover, Biden, Eli Lilly's, Morningstar, Amgen, Morningstar's Conover, Lilly's donanemab, Humana, Bausch, Jim Cramer's, Frederick Florin Organizations: Health, GE Healthcare, Abbott Laboratories, Amgen, Novartis, Walgreens Boots Alliance, JPMorgan Healthcare Conference, Democratic, Morningstar, CNBC, Horizon Therapeutics, Novo Nordisk, Federal Reserve, General Electric, Medicare, Humana, UnitedHealth Group, Investors, AFP, Getty Locations: San Francisco, U.S, Bernie Sanders of Vermont, Canadian, Fegersheim, France
The FDA approved tirzepatide for weight loss under the brand name Zepbound. It has been available as Mounjaro for type 2 diabetes since 2022 and had increasingly been used "off-label" for weight loss while the obesity approval was pending. Zepbound will be available in the U.S. by the end of the year at a list price of $1,059.87 a month, according to Lilly. That compares with a list of $1,349 per-package for Novo Nordisk's (NOVOb.CO) wildly popular weight-loss drug Wegovy. After Wednesday's FDA approval, Lilly can now promote the drug for weight loss.
Persons: Eli Lilly, Mike Segar, Eli Lilly's, ” John Sharretts, Lilly, Morningstar, Damien Conover, Conover, drugmaker, Robert Kushner, Mounjaro, Patrick Wingrove, Leroy Leo, Bhanvi, Shinjini Ganguli, Bill Berkrot Organizations: Company, REUTERS, U.S . Food, Drug Administration, U.S, FDA, FDA’s Center, Drug, Research, Novo Nordisk's, Reuters, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Thomson Locations: Branchburg , New Jersey, U.S, Indianapolis, United States, New York, Bengaluru
[1/3] View of Pfizer's new respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) vaccine Abrysvo during its manufacture in this undated handout picture. "800 POUND GORILLAS"CVS, which has more than 9,000 U.S. locations, declined to comment on why it was only carrying GSK's vaccine. It was not immediately clear how many RSV shots were being administered in pharmacies versus doctors' offices. GSK declined to discuss its RSV vaccine contracts, but said customer relationships gives it a competitive advantage. Two independent pharmacists said they are being charged a lower price by wholesalers for the GSK vaccine, which comes in boxes of 10.
Persons: Price, Ben Link, Link, Pfizer's, Dovato, Morningstar, Damien Conover, We’ve, Alison Hunt, Michelle Vargas, Michael Erman, Caroline Humer, Bill Berkrot Organizations: Pfizer, Handout, REUTERS, GSK, Reuters, CVS Health, CVS, Walgreens, Walmart, Aid, Thomson Locations: United States, British, U.S, South Carolina
The logo for AbbVie is displayed on a screen at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, New York, U.S., November 17, 2021. Morningstar analyst Damien Conover said he had already factored in a hit to Imbruvica from the Medicare price negotiations, so the update on impairment was not "overly significant to our view." Humira's global third-quarter sales fell 36% to $3.55 billion, but topped analysts' estimates of $3.48 billion, according to LSEG data. AbbVie in July trimmed its 2023 view for Humira sales erosion to 35%, from 37% earlier. The company's newer immunology drugs Skyrizi and Rinvoq generated sales of $2.13 billion and $1.11 billion, respectively, ahead of analyst expectations of $2.10 billion and $1.02 billion.
Persons: Andrew Kelly, girding, AbbVie, Imbruvica, Morningstar, Damien Conover, Humira, Piper Sandler, Christopher Raymond, Ingelheim, Leroy Leo, Christy Santhosh, Maju Samuel, Bill Berkrot Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, U.S, Medicare, Analysts, Sandoz, AbbVie, Thomson Locations: New York City , New York, U.S, The Illinois, Bengaluru
Wegovy prescriptions were up 300% at their peak, according to data from Barclays, before supply issues began to hamper sales. A COMPELLING CASEAnalysts said the data made a compelling case for long-term health benefits of the drug. Analysts were divided on whether Medicare could potentially cover Wegovy as a cardiovascular treatment without a new law passing. Three doctors specializing in obesity treatment, including a cardiologist, were not sure whether such an indication would allow for Medicare coverage. Companies that provide healthcare insurance have begun pulling back on coverage of weight loss drugs because of the high cost of the medicines.
Persons: Read, Eli Lilly, Stacie Dusetzina, Wegovy, Eli Lilly's Mounjaro, Evan Seigerman, Eugene Yang, Morningstar, Damien Conover, Tom Carper, Eli Lilly's, Dusetzina, Patrick Wingrove, Elissa Welle, Ahmed Aboulenein, Caroline Humer Organizations: Novo Nordisk, U.S, Vanderbilt University, Medicare, Barclays, University of Washington Medicine, Companies, Democratic, Novo, Reuters, Democrat, Republican, Thomson Locations: New York, Danish, Washington
The company has two oral GLP-1 drugs in mid-stage trials, and aims to choose one for a late-stage trial this year. He forecasts GLP-1s or similar drugs topping $100 billion in annual sales early in the 2030s, with Lilly's product accounting for more than $50 billion in sales. Smaller biotechs are also vying for a piece of the obesity market and hope large pharmaceutical companies will pay up for partnerships. "I don't know if it's $90 billion or $80 billion or $50 billion. The current GLP-1 drugs can cause nausea and vomiting.
In a recent note, Morningstar shared its top 33 undervalued stocks to buy for the second quarter. While the near term may look difficult for investors, Sekera believes that these headwinds will force the Federal Reserve to pump the brakes on its rate-hiking program sooner rather than later. Valuations-wise, small-cap firms remain the cheapest, while mid-cap and large-cap stocks respectively remain just below and above market average. In a separate note, Morningstar analysts listed their top 33 undervalued stocks for the second quarter of 2023. The full list of names is below, along with each company's ticker, sector, market capitalization, and price versus fair value estimate.
"When you think about traditional drug and vaccine development and longevity of sales, it's usually much more spread out," Morningstar analyst Damien Conover said. The sudden inflow of revenue should prod companies to strike deals and link up with new partners, he said. Vaccine maker Moderna also expects 2023 revenue to fall sharply. The company's only product - its messenger RNA COVID vaccine - pulled in around $18.4 billion in 2022. Eli Lilly and Co (LLY.N) made $2 billion in 2022 from monoclonal antibody COVID treatments and is not expecting any revenue from the business in 2023.
Analysts say they have based their 2023 Paxlovid sales estimates primarily on public details of announced deals, with a token amount of estimated China sales from before the country dropped the Zero-COVID policy. Their current estimates for over $10 billion in 2023 Paxlovid sales is less than half the $22 billion Pfizer is expected to report for 2022, according to Refinitiv data. Billions of dollars in Paxlovid sales could be at stake for Pfizer. Even without a deal to sell Paxlovid broadly in China, the company can still sell it there on the private market. China is "probably the only region that we're modeling a year-over-year increase in 2023" for Paxlovid, Conover said.
Contrary to intutition, bear market rallies may make it tougher for investors to do their jobs. Morningstar shared 14 stocks that are still cheap, despite beating the market. Then, they whittled that list down to the stocks that Morningstar analysts considered undervalued. Finally, Morningstar analysts highlighted AstraZeneca (AZN), noting its strong pipeline and its development of drugs that carry high pricing power. The full list of Morningstar's 14 undervalued bear market stars is below, along with each firm's ticker, sector, bear market return, and price discount.
Morningstar has revealed its pick of global stocks with the highest dividend yields. In a note entitled, "Our Ultimate Stock Pickers' ... Dividend-Yielding Stocks," Morningstar noted that searching for yield can be risky given the current volatility. In fact, three of the stocks have the potential to rise by more than 30%, according to Morningstar's analysts. GSK London-headquartered pharmaceutical giant GSK is also undervalued by more than 40%, according to Morningstar analyst Damien Conover. Philips' stock, which also trades in New York, has fallen to a decade low following criticism over its handling of a global recall of respiratory machines.
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